Preview

Civil Aviation High Technologies

Advanced search

Statistical modeling of combat functioning for army aviation airborne complexes system

https://doi.org/10.26467/2079-0619-2026-29-1-97-111

Abstract

The development of mathematical models of the combat functioning of army aviation aircraft complexes is the most important task in the field of researching the prospects for the development of aviation technology and substantiating requirements for it. One of the main requirements for these models is their objectivity and adequacy to the real combat process, which is achieved by choosing the appropriate mathematical apparatus and clarifying the content of designed combat tasks when studying the experience of modern wars and armed conflicts. The paper proposes a statistical model for the combat functioning of the system of aircraft complexes of the army aviation (SAC AA) while performing a typical calculated strike mission – the destruction of a single small-sized mobile ground target. A distinctive feature of the developed model is that it takes into account the specifics of helicopter combat use under current conditions (operations within battle helicopter groups, flights at extremely low altitudes, carrying out missions amidst intense enemy air defense counteraction), as well as random elements within the scope of the considered task. A description of the procedure for statistical modeling of the combat functioning of the SAC AA during execution of this calculated task is provided. The result of the modeling was an assessment of the probability of a random event – execution of a calculated task with a given accuracy and reliability by the SAC AA. Expressions for calculating indicators of combat effectiveness and combat properties of SAC AA based on modeling results are proposed. Based on the method of limit points, the adequacy of the developed model has been verified. Using the proposed model, studies have been conducted on the influence of the values of the helicopter technical specifications and their air weaponry complexes on changes in the combat effectiveness and combat properties of SAC AA while executing the calculated task. The developed model can be used to construct a system of combat functioning models for the army aviation airborne complexes, taking into account the contemporary concept of application, thus enabling further investigations aimed at substantiating the tactical and technical requirements for modern military helicopters in shaping their technical design features.

About the Author

A. L. Tarasov
Branch of the Military Educational and Scientific Centre of Air Force “Professor N.E. Zhukovsky and Y.A. Gagarin Air Force Academy”
Russian Federation

Andrey L. Tarasov, Candidate of Engineering Sciences, Associate Professor, the Head of the Helicopter and Engine Design and Operation Chair

Syzran 



References

1. Platunov, V.S. (2005). Methodology of systematic military scientific research of aviation complexes. Moscow: Delta, 344 p. (in Russian)

2. Averbuh, Yu.V., Afonin, I.E., Vasin, A.A. et al. (2025). Models of military, combat and special operations, in Novikov D.A. (Ed.). Moscow: LENAND, 528 p. (in Russian)

3. Popov, I.S. (1991). Fundamentals of modeling and systems analysis of the efficiency of aviation systems. Moscow: VVIA im. prof. N.Ye. Zhukovskogo, 478 p. (in Russian)

4. Mao, Y., Chen, Z., Yang, Y., Hu, Y. (2021). A novel adaptive heuristic dynamic programming-based algorithm for aircraft confrontation games. Fundamental Research, no. 1, pp. 792–799. DOI: 10.1016/j.fmre.2021.08.004

5. Makarenko, S.I., Afonin, I.E. (2024). Modeling of aviation combat operations and evaluation of their effectiveness – analysis of papers, models and actual research directions. Systems of control, communication and security, no. 3, pp. 78–125. DOI: 10.24412/2410-9916-2024-3-078-125 (in Russian)

6. Len, V.L. (2019). Network model of the full combat calculation work of the army air force and air defense command post, the algorithm of its work at the decision-making stage on the battle action. Vozdushno-kosmicheskie sily. Teoriya i praktika, no. 12, pp. 36–43. (in Russian)

7. Aleksanyan, A.R., Itskovich, A.A., Faynburg, I.A. (2015). The construction of mathematical model of processes of maintenance of aircraft engineering as a closed service system. Nauchnyy Vestnik MGTU GA, no. 219 (9), pp. 46–52. (in Russian)

8. Bal, M. (2020). Model and algorithm developing for efficiency assessment of antimissile defense overpowering by hypersonic flying vehicle with regard for counteraction of aviation complex. Trudy MAI, no. 109, p. 26. DOI: 10.34759/trd-2019-109-26 (accessed: 15.06.2025). (in Russian)

9. Ramteke, V., Comandur, V., Makkapati, V.R., Kothari, M.A. (2022). A gametheoretic model for one-on-one air combat. IFAC-PapersOnLine, vol. 55, issue 22, pp. 261–267. DOI: 10.1016/j.ifacol.2023.03.044

10. Ventsel, E.S. (1964). Introduction to operations research. Moscow: Sovetskoye radio, 389 p. (in Russian)

11. Ananyev, A.V. Ivannikov, K.S., Shaydullin, T.V., Kuziyarov, N.F. (2024). Reconnaissance-strike complex with first-person view drones to support the army aviation crews actions. Vozdushno-kosmicheskie sily. Teoriya i praktika, no. 32, pp. 54–74. (in Russian)

12. Arbuzov, I.V., Bolkhovitinov, O.V., Volochaev, O.V. et al. (2008). Combat aviation systems and their effectiveness, in Bolkhovitinov O.V. (Ed.). Moscow: VVIA im. prof. N.Ye. Zhukovskogo, 224 p. (in Russian)

13. Bolkhovitinov, O.V., Volnov, I.I., Mihalev, G.E. et al. (1991). Probability theory and mathematical statistics, in Bolkhovitinov O.V. (Ed.). Moscow: VVIA im. prof. N.Ye. Zhukovskogo, 195 p. (in Russian)

14. Monsik, V.B. (2003). Statistical principles of aircraft armament. Moscow: VVIA im. prof. N.Ye. Zhukovskogo, 484 p. (in Russian)

15. Tarasov, A.L., Prozorov, M.A. (2024). Estimation of the take-off weight of a combat helicopter with specified performance on the basis of the existence equation. Civil Aviation High Technologies, vol. 27, no. 5, pp. 90–102. DOI: 10.26467/2079-0619-2024-27-5-90-102 (in Russian)

16. Kiselev, A.V., Makarenko, S.I. (2022). Analysis of the combat potential of the parties to the conflict of the fire destruction means of the enemy and the air defense means of army. Systems of control, communication and security, no. 1, pp. 8–48. DOI: 10.24412/2410-9916-2022-1-8-48 (in Russian)

17. Makarenko, S.I., Starostin, A.V. (2024). Country's air defense system against strikes with unmanned aerial vehicles and cruise missiles: new threats, problematic issues, technical and economic analysis of architecture variants. Systems of control, communication and security, no. 2, pp. 86–148. DOI: 10.24412/2410-9916-2024-2-086-148 (in Russian)

18. Bonin, A.S., Fomin, M.V. (2005). Basic principles and methodological approach to substantiating the level values of combat performance indicators of promising military aviation systems. Voyennaya Mysl, no. 1, pp. 65–68. (in Russian)

19. Sirota, A.A. (2006). Computer modeling and performance evaluation of complex systems. Moscow: Tekhnosfera, 280 p. (in Russian)

20. Gorodnov, V.P. (1987). Simulation of combat operations of air defense units, formations and large units. Kharkov: VIRTA PVO im. marshala Sovetskogo Soyuza L.A. Govorova, 379 p. (in Russian)


Review

For citations:


Tarasov A.L. Statistical modeling of combat functioning for army aviation airborne complexes system. Civil Aviation High Technologies. 2026;29(1):97-111. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.26467/2079-0619-2026-29-1-97-111

Views: 269

JATS XML


Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.


ISSN 2079-0619 (Print)
ISSN 2542-0119 (Online)