STATISTICAL SYNTHESIS OF FORECAST CHARACTERISTICS OF COMPLEX TECHNICAL SYSTEM BY TIME SERIES
Abstract
The article analyses the problem of building a medium-term forecast of the recovery trend in the average. We present a method of recovery trend in the form of a polynomial whose coefficients are determined by the inverse functions which are approximated by trigonometric polynomials. Also there are the conditions describing the process of constructing trend in this article.
About the Authors
N. A. Severcev
ВЦ РАН
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
V. M. Balick
Московский авиационный институт
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
E. V. Balick
МАИ
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
References
1. Sistemnyj audit ispol'zovaniya nacional'nyh resursov i upravlenie po rezul'tatam. Vyp.2. Metody i modeli informacionno-analiticheskogo obespecheniya/Pod red. A.A. Piskunova, Rostov-na-Donu: YURIFKA, 2007.
2. Boks Dzh., Dzhenkins CH. Analiz vremennyh ryadov prognoza i upravleniya CH.1. M.: Mir, 1997.
Review
For citations:
Severcev N.A., Balick V.M., Balick E.V. STATISTICAL SYNTHESIS OF FORECAST CHARACTERISTICS OF COMPLEX TECHNICAL SYSTEM BY TIME SERIES. Civil Aviation High Technologies. 2015;(222):149-152. (In Russ.)
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