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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">caht</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Научный вестник МГТУ ГА</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Civil Aviation High Technologies</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">2079-0619</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2542-0119</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Moscow State Technical University of Civil Aviation (MSTU CA)</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">caht-116</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>Статьи</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>ВЕРОЯТНОСТНЫЙ МЕТОД ОПРЕДЕЛЕНИЯ ПРОПУСКНОЙ СПОСОБНОСТИ В СИСТЕМЕ УВД</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>PROBABILISTIC METHOD DETERMINE THE CAPACITY OF THE ATC SYSTEM</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Турков</surname><given-names>А. Н.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Turkov</surname><given-names>A. N.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>аспирант</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">noemail@neicon.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Чехов</surname><given-names>И. А.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Chekhov</surname><given-names>I. A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>кандидат военных наук, доцент кафедры УВД</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">noemail@neicon.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Нечаев</surname><given-names>Е. Е.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Nechaev</surname><given-names>E. E.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>профессор, доктор технических наук, заведующий кафедрой управления воздушным движением</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">noemail@neicon.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff xml:lang="ru" id="aff-1"><institution>МГТУ ГА</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2015</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>07</day><month>11</month><year>2016</year></pub-date><issue>221</issue><fpage>148</fpage><lpage>152</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Турков А.Н., Чехов И.А., Нечаев Е.Е., 2016</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2016</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Турков А.Н., Чехов И.А., Нечаев Е.Е.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Turkov A.N., Chekhov I.A., Nechaev E.E.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://avia.mstuca.ru/jour/article/view/116">https://avia.mstuca.ru/jour/article/view/116</self-uri><abstract><p>Рассматривается метод, связанный с определением максимального количества воздушных судов (ВС), находящихся одновременно на связи у диспетчера, с учетом обеспечения требуемого уровня безопасности полетов.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>The article offers method of estimating airport capacity which helps the controller to define work-load in summer months in particular, on holidays when the number of flights from Moscow airports increases drastically.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>загруженность диспетчера</kwd><kwd>нормативно-пропускная способность</kwd><kwd>интенсивность воздушного движения</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>workload air traffic controller</kwd><kwd>regulatory capacity</kwd><kwd>the intensity of air traffic</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Подольских В.В., Сосновский М.Ю. 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